Axios: AI governing the AI world

AI governing the AI world
 
Illustration of a giant robot hand holding the earth
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Stock: Getty Images
 
Slowly but surely, the leading AI companies are creating a national self-governing structure to oversee their technology and its societal impact, Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen write in a “Behind the Curtain” column.

With the federal government largely hands-off, Anthropic, OpenAI and others are self-regulating their technology and now setting up their own plans to redistribute their wealth.

Why it matters: Not since the age of the robber barons have America’s industrial titans wielded such sweeping power to shape society β€” and decide how their private fortunes should serve the public good.

In the modern era, Washington has largely exercised those powers through regulation, taxation and public spending

πŸ–ΌοΈ The big picture: President Trump has no interest in new regulations. Instead, he has blessed a basic framework for the AI companies to regulate themselves β€” and potentially each other β€” outside of formal government monitoring.

Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Elon Musk’s XSI, Meta and Nvidia are working on different versions of this. To be clear, this is all voluntary and rests on the public trusting companies the size of industrialized nations to responsibly police themselves.

These companies are in a frantic race to create human-surpassing superintelligence. All are pressing ahead, even as their leaders β€” particularly at Anthropic β€” warn of potentially catastrophic risks and profound economic disruption.

At the same time, some AI leaders are promising to direct a portion of their vast wealth to benefit those outside their companies.

Zoom in: At least three competing visions are emerging for sharing the spoils of the AI boom, each with a different answer to who should control the wealth.

Anthropic: The company. On the eve of its blockbuster IPO, Anthropic pledged 5% of its shares to a new public benefit fund that could grow into one of the largest philanthropic institutions in history. At a hypothetical $2 trillion valuation, its stake would be worth $100 billion β€” more than the Gates Foundation’s current endowment. Including earlier founder and employee pledges, roughly 20% of Anthropic’s shares are earmarked for the public good.

Musk: The people. Musk responded to Anthropic’s announcement by urging the company to give shares “directly to the public.” Yesterday, Musk pledged to give every American child a share of SpaceX next year β€” a staggering $10.5 billion giveaway at current prices. Musk called it the “first of many,” though he offered no details on how the unprecedented distribution would work.

OpenAI: The government. CEO Sam Altman has floated giving the U.S. government a 5% stake in OpenAI through a sovereign wealth fund β€” potentially handing Washington a multibillion-dollar interest in one of the world’s most powerful AI companies. Altman envisions an Alaska-style fund that could distribute the industry’s investment returns directly to Americans, though the plan remains preliminary and would likely require congressional approval

πŸ₯Š Reality check: The numbers are staggering. So are the assumptions about future wealth, billionaire follow-through and the public’s willingness to trust its benefactors.

Bill Gates and Warren Buffett launched the Giving Pledge in 2010, a voluntary promise by billionaires β€” including Musk β€” to give away most of their fortunes. Gates built a philanthropic empire, only to become a lightning rod for conspiracy theories.

Anthropic’s ambitions depend on extraordinary growth projections β€” its own employees envision 17% GDP growth in 2030 β€” while Musk has a history of making spectacular promises that fail to materialize.

Anthropic’s roots in effective altruism, a philosophy deeply distrusted by the Trump administration and its allies, also raise a more fundamental question: Who gets to define the public good?

Between the lines: No industry requirements or consensus exist on how best to redistribute their expected wealth. But Trump Accounts β€” which allow families, businesses and individuals to invest in tax-advantaged funds for children β€” are emerging as a favorite vehicle for free-market AI leaders.

Billionaire investor Brad Gerstner, a driving force behind the program, is championing a vision of broad-based ownership in which ordinary Americans share directly in the economic upside of the AI revolution.

SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell and her husband have already pledged roughly $320 million in company shares to 2 million children through Trump Accounts β€” a potential blueprint for distributing an even larger slice of Musk’s fortune

πŸ‘€ What to watch: The Trump administration hasn’t fully relinquished its regulatory authority, potentially complicating the emerging experiment in AI self-governance.

After Anthropic disclosed that its AI had submitted a false homicide tip to Philadelphia police and improperly interacted with government websites, the White House declared that AI companies must report security incidents and remedy any harm.

“This notification and remediation process is not optional,” Trump’s Super Intelligence Force warned β€” a striking assertion of federal authority just weeks after the president blessed a voluntary system of industry oversight.

Share this column … Zachary Basu and Bradley Olson contributed reporting.
Share on Facebook Tweet this Story

Unknown's avatar

About michelleclarke2015

Life event that changes all: Horse riding accident in Zimbabwe in 1993, a fractured skull et al including bipolar anxiety, chronic fatigue …. co-morbidities (Nietzche 'He who has the reason why can deal with any how' details my health history from 1993 to date). 17th 2017 August operation for breast cancer (no indications just an appointment came from BreastCheck through the Post). Trinity College Dublin Business Economics and Social Studies (but no degree) 1997-2003; UCD 1997/1998 night classes) essays, projects, writings. Trinity Horizon Programme 1997/98 (Centre for Women Studies Trinity College Dublin/St. Patrick's Foundation (Professor McKeon) EU Horizon funded: research study of 15 women (I was one of this group and it became the cornerstone of my journey to now 2017) over 9 mth period diagnosed with depression and their reintegration into society, with special emphasis on work, arts, further education; Notes from time at Trinity Horizon Project 1997/98; Articles written for Irishhealth.com 2003/2004; St Patricks Foundation monthly lecture notes for a specific period in time; Selection of Poetry including poems written by people I know; Quotations 1998-2017; other writings mainly with theme of social justice under the heading Citizen Journalism Ireland. Letters written to friends about life in Zimbabwe; Family history including Michael Comyn KC, my grandfather, my grandmother's family, the O'Donnellan ffrench Blake-Forsters; Moral wrong: An acrimonious divorce but the real injustice was the Catholic Church granting an annulment – you can read it and make your own judgment, I have mine. Topics I have written about include annual Brain Awareness week, Mashonaland Irish Associataion in Zimbabwe, Suicide (a life sentence to those left behind); Nostalgia: Tara Hill, Co. Meath.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply