The Econoclasts: UnHerd: Why Iran is only the beginning… Yanis Varoufakis and Wolfgang M

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Times News: Andrew Neil Breaks Down Trump’s Motivations in Iran …. Trump’s True Motivation

Mar 2, 2026

“I think it’s much more in the 19th century realpolitik of national interests being the motivating force.” Trump only cares that the future of Iran shares America’s interests, not that the country could remain a brutal dictatorship, says Andrew Neil. Andrew Neil was speaking to Kate McCann and Stig Abell on Times Radio Breakfast. Listen live everyday from 6-10am.

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Times Radio Live: Trump ‘Doesn’t Have’ European Support Concerning Iran Strikes

Mar 2, 2026

“It was a joint American-Israeli operation. I don’t think they had in mind that they would draw in European allies.” The UK has been treading a cautious line when it comes to Iran and it seems like US allies in Europe are not jumping to back Trump’s strikes, says former defence editor of the Times Michael Evans. Michael Evans was speaking to Hugo Rifkind on Times Radio. Listen live from 10am-1pm.

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Politico: Ireland’s the ultimate defense freeloader and this is an article in May 2024

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Ireland’s the ultimate defense freeloader

In effect, Dublin has abdicated responsibility of protecting the Europe’s northwestern borders.Listen

Shoulder patch of a soldier from the Irish Army on camouflaged uniform.
This must be the luck of the Irish — smile and get someone else to protect you for free. | iStock

Opinion

May 28, 2024 4:00 am CET

By Eoin Drea

Eoin Drea is senior research officer at the Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies.

Despite war raging in Ukraine and countries like North Macedonia, Georgia and Moldova desperately seeking to join the EU, there’s one member country that won’t be helping to defend Europe anytime soon.

That country is Ireland.

Despite bearing responsibility for 16 percent of the EU’s territorial waters, and the fact that 75 percent of transatlantic undersea cables pass through or near Irish waters, Ireland is totally defenseless. And I mean completely unable to protect critical infrastructure, or even pretend to secure its own borders.

Think I’m exaggerating?

Well, Ireland’s “navy” of six patrol vessels is currently operating with one operational ship due to chronic staff shortages. Over one month of naval patrol days were cancelled in the 12 months prior to March 2024 due to staffing shortages. Pay and conditions are so bad that entire classes of Naval Service graduates are being bought out of their contracts by private employers seeking their technical skills.

Ireland simply has no undersea capabilities. How could it, when it barely spends 0.2 percent of GDP on security and defense? And it has, in effect, abdicated responsibility for protecting the Europe’s northwestern borders.

Things are so embarrassing that when Russian navy ships conducted drills near Irish waters three weeks before their invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, it was a fleet of Irish commercial fisherman who confronted them. And more recently, an upsurge of drug trafficking activity linked to Mexican organized crime forced current lawmaker (and former senior Irish army officer) Cathal Berry to warn that “(Ireland has) handed the keys of the country over to the cartels.”

Unfortunately, things are even worse up in the skies. Ireland has no combat jets, and it’s the only country in Europe that can’t monitor its own airspace due to the lack of primary radar systems. The absence of combat or heavy airlift planes has left the Irish begging other European air forces for help in emergencies — most recently during the evacuation of Western personnel from Afghanistan.

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Instead, the country has outsourced its security to Britain in a technically secret agreement between Dublin and London, which effectively cedes control over Irish air space to the Royal Air Force.

This must be the luck of the Irish — smile and get someone else to protect you for free.

Unfortunately, so entrenched are the country’s policymakers in their formula for defenseless neutrality that no major shift in policy is possible.

Officially, the Irish government is directing attention toward its “Report of the Commission on the Defence Forcespublished in early 2022, which — they say — will transform Irish capabilities. Unfortunately, however, Irish defense spending continued its decline through 2023, with modest increases significantly below the rate of inflation. And the only planned upgrade before 2028 is the acquisition of a basic primary radar system — all other weaknesses are blisfully ignored.

The country has outsourced its security to Britain in a technically secret agreement between Dublin and London, which effectively cedes control over Irish air space to the Royal Air Force. | Ministry of Defence via Getty Images

Meanwhile, Dublin’s decision to attend this year’s Munich Security Conference and extol the virtues of neutrality demonstrates just how out of touch the country has become. This inevitable car crash of a discussion highlighted how Ireland’s painfully patronizing brand of best-in-class humanitarianism is no longer taken seriously beyond the Irish Sea.

Ironically, it’s Ireland’s membership in the single market and penchant for “tax competition” that’s given Dublin ample fiscal space to invest more in security and defense — if desired. Its booming business tax receipts, driven exclusively by U.S. tech and pharma companies, are expected to deliver budget surpluses of approximately €50 billion by 2027. Alas, security and defense spending don’t even enter into the conversation of how this money is to be spent.

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Ultimately, Ireland’s policies underscore the fact that Dublin feels no responsibility to protect its own borders, regardless of the potential impact on its fellow EU members — a view that reflects its broader transactional approach to EU affairs, which is predicated on safeguarding existing relationships with the U.S. (corporate tax) and the U.K. (open border with Northern Ireland).

European solidarity only brings up the rear.

Plus, Ireland’s approach to the next round of EU budget negotiations promises to be more of the same old, same old — more money (Ireland’s a net contributor) in return for maintaining the flow of business tax returns. Somehow, Ireland, which was bailed out in 2010, is still trying (unsuccessfully) to run with the frugal gang when it comes to hard cash.

Pay a little, receive an awful lot more seems the current Irish mantra.

And most depressingly of all, not even a direct Russian attack on the Baltic states, Finland or Poland may convince Ireland to lift a finger — or reach for its checkbook — to help defend Europe. As part of a successful strategy to convince the country to ratify the Lisbon Treaty in 2009, the EU agreed to an additional Protocol, providing Dublin with an escape clause for any European defense responsibilities.

So, while the EU — including even Germany — stumbles forward on security and defense, Ireland remains aloof on its island oasis.

Two things are certain: Ukraine will keep fighting; Ireland will keep freeloading.

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TED Ian Bremmer EXPLAINS THE WORLD

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The Rundown AI: OAI lands Pentagon deal as Trump boots Anthropic

OAI lands Pentagon deal as Trump boots Anthropic
Image source: Lovart / The Rundown
The Rundown: OpenAI signed a deal with the Pentagon, just hours after President Trump ordered to cut ties with Anthropic over safeguards on mass surveillance and autonomous weapons, with OpenAI claiming its contract carries the same red lines.
The details:
Anthropic was the first AI lab on the Pentagon’s classified network, but held firm on not using AI for mass domestic surveillance or autonomous weapons.Trump responded by ordering agencies to drop Anthropic, with War Sec. Pete Hegseth adding a “supply chain risk” tag only ever used on adversaries.OAI signed its own deal hours later, citing similar red lines to Anthropic — though the Pentagon reportedly still used Claude in Iran strikes post-ban.

Altman said the deal was “definitely rushed” and that the optics don’t look good” in an X AMA, while also calling the Anthropic ban “a very bad decision”.Consumer backlash landed fast, with Claude shooting to No. 1 on Apple’s App Store and a “Cancel ChatGPT” movement spreading across X and Reddit.
Why it matters: Whether OAI’s red lines actually match Anthropic’s or just look the part on paper is the question to watch. Claude’s surge and ChatGPT cancellation backlash show the user reaction, but a favorable relationship with the government over a top competitor might be worth more long-term than the lost consumer revenue.
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Axios: Pics to go: Living history

Pics to go: Living history
 
Photo: Daniel Torok/The White House via Getty ImagesPresident Trump talks to White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles yesterday in a secure space at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., during Operation Epic Fury.

Photo: Daniel Torok/The White House via Getty ImagesAir Force Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, in the Mar-a-Lago Situation Room yesterday.

Photo: The White House via APVice President JD Vance was in the White House Situation Room overnight as the military operation began in Iran, dialed into a conference line with Trump and the team at Mar-a-Lago. (The Washington Post)

Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard are on the left. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is in the right foreground.

For national security reasons, the photo has been partially blurred so that lettering isn’t legible.
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Axios: Claude used in Iran strikes

Claude used in Iran strikes
 
Illustration of eye emojis with the OpenAI logo in the pupil
Illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios
 
The U.S. used Anthropic’s Claude to support Operation Epic Fury against Iran yesterday, sources familiar with the Pentagon’s operations tell Axios.

Why it matters: The military’s use of Claude to capture Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro in January ignited the showdown between Anthropic and the Pentagon. Late Friday, the Pentagon said Anthropic will be designated a supply-chain risk. Anthropic vowed to fight in court.

Secretary of Defense Peter Hegseth said: “Anthropic will continue to provide the Department of War its services for a period of no more than six months to allow for a seamless transition.”Four and a half hours after the Pentagon vowed to banish Anthropic, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announced an agreement for military use of his models.”We think our agreement has more guardrails than any previous agreement for classified AI deployments, including Anthropic’s,” an OpenAI statement said yesterday.

The backstory: OpenAI’s new Pentagon deal doesn’t explicitly prohibit collecting Americans’ publicly available information — a sticking point that rival Anthropic says is crucial for ensuring domestic mass surveillance doesn’t take place, Axios’ Maria Curi reports.

The Pentagon says mass surveillance is already illegal. Altman was asked thousands of questions about his Pentagon contract during an “ask me anything” on X last night, including whether he was worried there would be a dispute later on with the Pentagon over what’s legal or not.

Altman, who has 4.4 million X followers, replied: “Yes, I am. If we have to take on that fight we will, but it clearly exposes us to some risk.”Share this story.Jo Ling Kent interviews Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei late Friday. Photo: CBS News

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says today on “CBS News Sunday Morning”: “We are still interested in working with [the Defense Department] as long as it is in line with our red lines.

The Pentagon still sees Anthropic’s Claude as superior to other models.Amodei told CBS News’ Jo Ling Kent late Friday: “If we can get to the point with the department where we can see things the same way, then perhaps there could be an agreement. … For our part and for the sake of U.S. national security, we continue to want to make this work.”

Amodei said Anthropic has sought to deploy its AI models for military use because “we are patriotic Americans” and “we believe in this country.

Emil Michael, the Pentagon’s chief technology officer, told CBS News on Thursday: “At some level, you have to trust your military to do the right thing.”Watch the Amodei video.
    
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OCCRP: Violence in Mexico After Military Kills Drug CartelLeader ‘El Menscho’

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Axios: Charted: War hits oil…

Charted: War hits oil
 
Data: Financial Modeling Prep. Chart: Axios Visuals

Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery, Aramco’s Ras Tanura, was at least partially shut down as a precaution today after a drone attack.

And an oil tanker was attacked in the Gulf of Oman by a bomb-carrying drone boat, sparking a fire and killing one, Oman says.

Why it matters: The refinery strike could mark a widening of the new Middle East war, which previously hadn’t targeted petroleum-related sites, writes Ben Geman, author of Axios Future of Energy.

Torbjorn Soltvedt, a top analyst with risk intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft, said in a note: “The attack on Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refinery marks a significant escalation, with Gulf energy infrastructure now squarely in Iran’s sights.”Get the latest.
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