| Bibi’s last stand |
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| Photo illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photos via Getty Images |
| Israel is marking the third anniversary of the Oct. 7 terror attacks three weeks before an election where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s personal culpability for the country’s worst-ever security failure will be a central issue, Axios’ Barak Ravid and Dave Lawler write. Why it matters: Netanyahu has defied expectations by keeping his government afloat through years of simultaneous wars and perpetual emergency. Tight polls still leave the ultimate political survivor a path to hang on. The big picture: Oct. 7 still looms over the country and his candidacy. The opposition lambasts him for refusing to take responsibility or allow an independent inquiry into the Hamas attacks that killed around 1,200 people. Netanyahu’s chief opponent, former Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, lost his son and two nephews during the war in Gaza. Sources close to Eisenkot say he sees his main mission as replacing the man he holds responsible for allowing the Oct. 7 attacks Zoom in: Netanyahu blames the deep state, claiming his security chiefs kept him in the dark. His political and media allies have even spread conspiracy theories implying that those officials betrayed Israel.But recent reporting suggests Netanyahu had at least some warning. Israeli outlet Haaretz reported that United Arab Emirates President Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ) told Netanyahu that Hamas was planning a major operation days before the attack. Three knowledgeable sources confirm to Axios that UAE intelligence gave a general warning to its Israeli counterparts and that MBZ spoke to Netanyahu to make sure he received it. Netanyahu denies receiving the UAE warning and has sued several media outlets and journalists that reported he had. Between the lines: The vote could determine not just Netanyahu’s political survival, but his legal future as well. Losing power would also mean losing any levers to delay or influence an ongoing corruption trial. But if he wins, Netanyahu could argue he was acquitted by the people of Israel and take stronger action to thwart the proceedings. The intrigue: President Trump could give Netanyahu a boost by endorsing him, but so far he’s declined.Trump has privately blamed Netanyahu for the Oct. 7 failures, according to two people who have discussed the matter directly with the president. He’s also mused about Netanyahu damaging Israel’s international reputation. However, Trump has stuck close to Netanyahu during the war in Iran and may still endorse him .Share this story. |
2. Paxton privately blames Iran war |
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| Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photos: Justin Lane-Pool, Sina Schuldt/picture alliance, and Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images |
| Texas Republican Senate nominee Ken Paxton privately lamented the impact of the Iran war and gas prices on his campaign in a meeting last month, telling a group of donors and lobbyists, “I don’t make the decisions,” according to audio obtained by Axios’ Andrew Solender and Stef W. Kight. Why it matters: It’s a candid admission from a close Trump ally about the challenging environment Republicans face this cycle. Paxton, the Texas attorney general, was speaking to donors and lobbyists at a closed-door fundraiser in D.C. The audio was provided to Axios by a person, granted anonymity because it was a private event, who was in the meeting and is opposed to Paxton. President Trump is set to rally with Paxton in San Antonio today. What he said: Asked by one attendee what issues are “dragging” on his campaign, Paxton responded, “It’s not tariffs. … It’s the war, it’s gas prices, it’s diesel,” according to an audio file obtained by Axios.“When it’s over $6 per gallon for diesel … people are feeling the pinch,” he continued, adding that the rising cost of fuel “drives up food prices and everything else. “The Republican candidate said affordability is “by far our biggest problem” and “why we’re having a hard time with numbers .”Paxton pointed to his tax cut plan — which includes new housing and health care write-offs and an expansion of the child tax credit — as his proposed remedy on affordability. “I’m just trying to figure out ways I can help people. That’s the only way: I can propose legislation,” he said. “So many factors in this federal race are uncontrollable. I don’t make the decisions, and I don’t … know what’s behind some of the decisions,” he added. Keep reading. |
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Zoom in: Netanyahu blames the deep state, claiming his security chiefs kept him in the dark. His political and media allies have even spread conspiracy theories implying that those officials betrayed Israel.
The intrigue: President Trump could give Netanyahu a boost by endorsing him, but so far he’s declined.
Paxton privately blames Iran war
What he said: Asked by one attendee what issues are “dragging” on his campaign, Paxton responded, “It’s not tariffs. … It’s the war, it’s gas prices, it’s diesel,” according to an audio file obtained by Axios.