The new existential threat to AI |
![]() |
| Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Stock: Getty Images |
| Forget energy. Forget chips. Forget China. The most clear and present danger to AI and any AI-related economic boom is rapidly rising public opposition to U.S. data centers, Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen write in a “Behind the Curtain” column. Why it matters: Republicans and AI CEOs are in full panic mode watching politicians and the public turn on the physical engines of AI growth. In private, they tell us they can’t find a compelling message to shift opinion fast enough. Their nightmare — a political and economic daisy chain that cripples the AI revolution — is already taking shape: Voters revolt against data centers over electricity bills, water use, giant warehouse-like developments and fears about AI eliminating jobs. Democrats race to capitalize, competing to impose tougher restrictions or block projects altogether. Republicans — watching candidates get punished in places like Ohio — retreat from an industry they’ve spent years championing. The pipeline of new data centers slows, constraining the computing power AI companies need to keep improving their models and products. Investors question the staggering spending, borrowing and valuations built on expectations of relentless AI growth. Zoom out: The AI boom has become dangerously intertwined with the U.S. economy, meaning this will ricochet far beyond Silicon Valley.Goldman Sachs estimatesU.S. AI investment will hit about $600 billion this year, equal to roughly 2% of GDP and 10% of business fixed investment. Big Tech has already locked itself into trillions of dollars in future spending: The Financial Times found six hyperscalers have nearly $1.5 trillion in purchase commitments, much of it tied to AI infrastructure, plus roughly $1.5 trillion in lease obligations. Even the richest companies in history are now turning to debt markets to bankroll the buildout. A handful of those AI-heavy tech giants dominate the stock market’s gains, swelling the portfolios of wealthy Americans who account for an outsized share of consumer spending. The big picture: The increasingly toxic politics of data centers are surfacing in several of this fall’s governors’ races.Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D), a 2028 hopeful, had welcomed data centers as an economic-development boon, boasting last year that an Amazon plan to build $20 billion in AI infrastructure was the “largest private sector investment in the history of Pennsylvania. “Yesterday, Shapiro, whose Republican opponent in November is campaigning on halting data-center development, went from AI cheerleader to critic and signed an executive order imposing stringent new requirements for data-center developers. The intrigue: In Wisconsin, GOP gubernatorial nominee Tom Tiffany — a close Trump ally — is running ads attacking his Democratic opponent for suggesting the state could become an AI data hub “for the entire globe.”It’s a striking crack in Trump’s pro-AI coalition, as Republicans in swing states scramble to get on the right side of the new populist wave upending the midterms. The other side: OpenAI is aggressively courting state and local officials to try to persuade them of the economic benefits of data centers. Chris Lehane, OpenAI’s chief global affairs officer, told us: “As the late, great Tip O’Neill famously said, ‘All politics is local.’“ “That is especially true of AI data centers, where you have to show up, listen, and directly respond with specifics to the concerns of locals,” Lehane added. “You have to answer the mail on issues like electricity and water, while also demonstrating a seriousness of purpose when it comes to ensuring the community gets a good deal. … That is democracy in action. “Meta last week announced i Data: Pew. Chart: Noah Bressner/Axios By the numbers: In Pew Research Center polling published yesterday, 52% of Americans said they’re “more concerned than excited” about increased use of AI in daily life — up from 37% in 2021.Even adults under 30 have soured on AI, with 55% now saying they’re more concerned than excited — mainly because of fears the technology will take jobs. Excitement has faded across all age groups over the past five years, Pew found. A June Echelon Insights poll found AI data centers are uniquely toxic: Just 27% of voters say they would support building one in their community, dead last among the projects tested — including a nuclear power plant.Zachary Basu and Alex Thompson contributed reporting.Share this column … Go deeper: “AI optimism fades among young adults,” by Axios’ Josephine Walker. |
-
Archives
- September 2026
- August 2026
- July 2026
- June 2026
- May 2026
- April 2026
- March 2026
- February 2026
- January 2026
- December 2025
- November 2025
- October 2025
- September 2025
- August 2025
- July 2025
- June 2025
- May 2025
- April 2025
- March 2025
- February 2025
- January 2025
- December 2024
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- March 2015
- January 2015
-
Meta
The new existential threat to AI
Zoom out: The AI boom has become dangerously intertwined with the U.S. economy, meaning this will ricochet far beyond Silicon Valley.Goldman Sachs
The big picture: The increasingly toxic politics of data centers are surfacing in several of this fall’s
The intrigue: In Wisconsin, GOP gubernatorial nominee Tom Tiffany — a close Trump ally — is running ads 
By the numbers: In Pew Research Center polling