Axios: Unrecognizable 2028 – our future foretold

Unrecognizable 2028 — our future foretold
 
Illustration of a crystal ball
Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios
 
🔮 Axios CEO Jim VandeHei pulls the camera way back in this synthesis for his weekly C-Suite newsletter:

Multiple disruptive forces will converge by 2028 — toxic political fragmentation, superintelligent AI and a platform shift bigger than social media — hitting simultaneously, not sequentially: 

Politics: Two wide-open, bitterly contested presidential primaries are nearly certain as both parties reimagine their platforms in real time. Old issues (jobs, inflation, the economy) will fuse with new ones (AI, growing anti-Israel sentiment, drones). 

AI: The models will be exponentially more capable by 2028, and likely to be fully embedded in every job across every industry. It’s difficult to imagine that no defining AI event has occurred — a cancer cure on the upside, a grid attack on the downside.️

Platform shift: Every major information platform of the last 30 years — from cable news to social media — created a new power structure. Winners got rich. Laggards got irrelevant. The shift from web to LLM-based information is potentially bigger than all of them. The next phase: hardware. Devices worn, carried or embedded will route nearly all information through AI interfaces. The smartphone made the web the default. The next devices will make the LLM the default. 

Inequality surge: By 2028, the top 10% will likely drive more than half of all U.S. consumer spending. The rich will get dramatically richer off AI. We may mint the first trillionaires with nation-state wealth in private hands. Imagine the politics of that. 

Debt: Based on government projections, we’re staring at roughly $43 trillion in total gross national debt. Nearly 15% of all tax revenue will service debt — without being invested in anything. Congress won’t act until a crisis hits. 

Wildcards: China, an energy crunch, a new war, a climate shock. Any one of these could rewrite reality.📈 If you’re a CEO or on a CEO’s team: Apply now to join Jim’s new Axios C-Suite weekly newsletter. … Share this story.
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About michelleclarke2015

Life event that changes all: Horse riding accident in Zimbabwe in 1993, a fractured skull et al including bipolar anxiety, chronic fatigue …. co-morbidities (Nietzche 'He who has the reason why can deal with any how' details my health history from 1993 to date). 17th 2017 August operation for breast cancer (no indications just an appointment came from BreastCheck through the Post). Trinity College Dublin Business Economics and Social Studies (but no degree) 1997-2003; UCD 1997/1998 night classes) essays, projects, writings. Trinity Horizon Programme 1997/98 (Centre for Women Studies Trinity College Dublin/St. Patrick's Foundation (Professor McKeon) EU Horizon funded: research study of 15 women (I was one of this group and it became the cornerstone of my journey to now 2017) over 9 mth period diagnosed with depression and their reintegration into society, with special emphasis on work, arts, further education; Notes from time at Trinity Horizon Project 1997/98; Articles written for Irishhealth.com 2003/2004; St Patricks Foundation monthly lecture notes for a specific period in time; Selection of Poetry including poems written by people I know; Quotations 1998-2017; other writings mainly with theme of social justice under the heading Citizen Journalism Ireland. Letters written to friends about life in Zimbabwe; Family history including Michael Comyn KC, my grandfather, my grandmother's family, the O'Donnellan ffrench Blake-Forsters; Moral wrong: An acrimonious divorce but the real injustice was the Catholic Church granting an annulment – you can read it and make your own judgment, I have mine. Topics I have written about include annual Brain Awareness week, Mashonaland Irish Associataion in Zimbabwe, Suicide (a life sentence to those left behind); Nostalgia: Tara Hill, Co. Meath.
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