Geopolitical expert Ian Bremmer reveals the two most likely scenarios for how the Iran war ends and explains why Trump keeps saying he wants to “take the oil.” He describes Karg Island, a piece of land half the size of Manhattan that sits just off the Iranian coast and handles 90% of Iran’s oil exports, explaining that US Central Command estimates it can be taken with 12,000 to 15,000 troops and that thousands of additional American ground forces are currently being deployed to the region. He lays out the more likely scenario: the ceasefire gets extended, more substantive talks follow the 21-hour negotiation in Pakistan, and Iran eventually compromises on nuclear enrichment in exchange for maintaining a privileged toll position over the Strait of Hormuz. He explains that Iran would frame the toll payments as reconstruction reparations for the war damage they suffered, and that this outcome, while ugly, avoids further escalation and eventually allows European and Indian naval escorts to create a secure shipping environment.
Discover: • Why Trump keeps saying he wants to “take the oil” and what that actually means • The tiny island responsible for 90% of Iranian oil exports • The two most likely scenarios for how the Iran war ends • Why Iran might concede on nuclear weapons but keep control of the strait • How Russia is making more money now than before the war started • Why weapons meant for Ukraine are being redirected to the Middle East • The 30-year mistake that caused Europe’s decline on the global stage 📺 Watch the full episode here – • The Global Politics Expert: The Real Globa…
Life event that changes all: Horse riding accident in Zimbabwe in 1993, a fractured skull et al including bipolar anxiety, chronic fatigue …. co-morbidities (Nietzche 'He who has the reason why can deal with any how' details my health history from 1993 to date). 17th 2017 August operation for breast cancer (no indications just an appointment came from BreastCheck through the Post). Trinity College Dublin Business Economics and Social Studies (but no degree) 1997-2003; UCD 1997/1998 night classes) essays, projects, writings. Trinity Horizon Programme 1997/98 (Centre for Women Studies Trinity College Dublin/St. Patrick's Foundation (Professor McKeon) EU Horizon funded: research study of 15 women (I was one of this group and it became the cornerstone of my journey to now 2017) over 9 mth period diagnosed with depression and their reintegration into society, with special emphasis on work, arts, further education; Notes from time at Trinity Horizon Project 1997/98; Articles written for Irishhealth.com 2003/2004; St Patricks Foundation monthly lecture notes for a specific period in time; Selection of Poetry including poems written by people I know; Quotations 1998-2017; other writings mainly with theme of social justice under the heading Citizen Journalism Ireland. Letters written to friends about life in Zimbabwe; Family history including Michael Comyn KC, my grandfather, my grandmother's family, the O'Donnellan ffrench Blake-Forsters; Moral wrong: An acrimonious divorce but the real injustice was the Catholic Church granting an annulment – you can read it and make your own judgment, I have mine. Topics I have written about include annual Brain Awareness week, Mashonaland Irish Associataion in Zimbabwe, Suicide (a life sentence to those left behind); Nostalgia: Tara Hill, Co. Meath.
canisgallicus 