| Trump’s “Swiss Army” tools |
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| Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photos: Getty Images |
| Axios’ Marc Caputo and Barak Ravid bring us this intel from inside the White House: As President Trump tries to hammer out a peace deal with Iran, he has a dovish adviser in Vice President Vance perched on one figurative shoulder — and a hawkish Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the other. Why it matters: The success of the talks — and therefore the health of global oil markets — greatly depends on how well Trump deploys each man to balance competing interests in Iran, Israel and Lebanon. A top Trump adviser told us: “Think of Marco and JD as aspects of the president’s personality and policy. There’s a more pro-Israel aspect of it, and that’s Rubio. And there’s a more Israel-skeptic aspect. That’s JD.” Zoom in: Vance and Rubio differed during internal deliberations about the landmark June 17 memorandum of understanding (MOU) between the U.S. and Iran.Vance negotiated the deal with Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The VP thought Trump should sign off to end the war, reopen the Strait of Hormuz and stabilize the economy ahead of the midterms, according to several U.S. sources. Rubio, with CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, was skeptical of the MOU and the chances it could lead to a comprehensive nuclear deal. Between the lines: The negotiations are complex because they’re trilateral, involving Israel, Iran and Lebanon. They include three agreements: The MOU signed on June 17 between Iran and the U.S. A June 21 agreement Vance struck with Iran in Switzerland concerning Lebanon. A peace framework, shepherded by Rubio, signed Friday by Israel and Lebanon. Friction point: On Rubio’s track, the parties worked to block Iran from interfering in Lebanon. But Vance’s track gave the Iranians a say in the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, which the U.S. classifies as an Iran-backed terrorist group. The two tracks collided. Hezbollah and its allies in Lebanon were furious, declared Rubio’s deal null and void, and demanded that the parties abide by the U.S.–Iran MOU negotiated by Vance. Said another U.S. official, playing down the situation: “To the Iranians, the deals conflict. To us, they do not. It depends on how you interpret those clauses.” The intrigue: U.S. officials say the result of the Iran negotiations could have domestic political implications — especially for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.One U.S. official said Rubio didn’t take the front seat in the Iran negotiations for a reason: “He is waiting to see if Vance self-destructs. “But another senior U.S. official called that characterization “boneheaded and wrong. Both Marco and JD are executing the president’s will. “White House principal deputy press secretary Anna Kelly said: “There is one camp — President Trump’s camp — and the entire administration is fully behind the president’s efforts to ensure Iran can never possess a nuclear weapon.”Share this story. |
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Zoom in: Vance and Rubio differed during internal deliberations about the landmark June 17 memorandum of understanding (MOU) between the U.S. and Iran.
The intrigue: U.S. officials say the result of the Iran negotiations could have domestic political implications — especially for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.