| 1 big thing: Big AI bets |
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| Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios |
| As the United States gears up to celebrate a signature innovation — modern democracy! — American industry is pushing to lead in the high-tech innovation race of the future.From the White House to state capitals, leaders are reshaping how America innovates, and they’re placing high-stakes bets on AI and science that may set the course for the next 250 years. But America’s domination isn’t guaranteed — especially if it places the wrong bets, write Axios senior tech policy reporter Ashley Gold and editor Mackenzie Weinger.To help explain how today’s policies are shaping the future, we isolated three pillars driving our next era of innovation: 1. Betting big on robotics: The next era won’t be won in the cloud. It’ll be won on factory floors.The U.S. leads today in large language models and foundational AI. But integrating AI into physical systems — in other words, creating practical uses that improve our lives — will matter more than flashy LLM breakthroughs. That’s where robots come in.The number of new robots deployed each year has more than doubled from a decade ago, now topping 500,000 units globally. But Beijing is leading the robot revolution: China has over 2 million industrial robots inside its factories — five times more than the U.S. What we’re watching: The White House is reportedly considering an executive order that could spur production of robotics in the U.S. as part of a push to reshore manufacturing. 2. Going all in on data centers and AI infrastructure: Robots could build the future, but data centers will power it. The Trump administration has made it a policy priority to expand the infrastructure behind the AI boom. President Trump issued an executive order last July to speed up AI data center projects, calling for faster and more efficient permitting approval. What we’re watching: Local tensions around the impact that massive data centers have on electricity prices and quality of life are intensifying, and some communities have blocked projects entirely. 3. Relying on industry — and regulating less. The new rulebook is to let the market lead: move fast, regulate later and let that ethos pave the way for the next generation of innovation.The government is pulling back from bankrolling the kind of basic research that previously made America a tech superpower.Instead, it’s leaning into a market-driven system of innovation spurred by venture capital cash, Big Tech action and Silicon Valley’s influence on policy. By the numbers: Federal money funded 67% of research and development in the 1960s. Now, it’s just 19%, according to the most recent NSF data.The private sector now funds about 75% of domestic R&D. What we’re watching: In the absence of major legislation or regulations providing AI rules of the road, procurement is policy. The government is shaping the future of innovation through its contracts and partnerships.Read on for a snapshot of transformational AI innovations we’re tracking. |
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