| The “s” word is back |
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios1970s-era stagflation talk is rising on Wall Street, Axios’ Emily Peck reports. Investors fret a comeback for the dreaded pairing of high inflation and high unemployment. The fear is being fueled by a lousy jobs report and rising oil prices. Yesterday alone, at least six investment managers and Wall Street analysts warned of “stagflationary” concerns. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee noted Friday that rising unemployment on top of an oil price shock creates “exactly the kind of stagflationary environment that’s as uncomfortable as any that faces a central bank.” Analysts and media last tossed out the “s” word when inflation revved up in 2021. The term “stagflation” really took off the next year, when Russia invaded Ukraine, spiking energy prices. Many pundits predicted a recession that never materialized. Today is different for two reasons: The job market is more sluggish than it was a few years ago. The oil shock from the Iran war is potentially magnitudes larger than that from Russia’s invasion, taking 20% of the global oil supply off the board. Reality check: It’s not the ’70s. Economists believe the Iran war will slow economic growth and cause an increase in inflation — but not to the extremes seen back then. The bottom line: Michael Madowitz, principal economist at the progressive Roosevelt Institute, said this shock is “probably just going to slow the economy down, rather than trigger some long wave of inflation.”Go deeper. |
2. Meta scoops up Moltbook |
Illustration: Brendan Lynch/AxiosMeta has acquired Moltbook, a viral social network designed for AI agents, Axios’ Ina Fried scoops. The deal brings Moltbook creators Matt Schlicht and Ben Parr into Meta Superintelligence Labs. Meta didn’t disclose Moltbook’s purchase price. The deal is expected to close mid-March, Meta says, with the pair starting at MSL on March 16. A Meta representative tells Axios: “The Moltbook team joining MSL opens up new ways for AI agents to work for people and businesses.”What is Moltbook? |
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Meta
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
Meta scoops up Moltbook
Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios